
“Winning the Future!” By now, most of us have heard President Obama's new slogan for his 2012 re-election campaign.
But for the mortgage industry and consumers, it seems like something very vital is at stake: causes of the recent financial meltdown are creeping and clawing their way back.
Perhaps we are not so much Winning the Future as Losing the Past.
Famous Last Words
Here are the very last words of the 1616 page Senate's amendments to the House's financial reform bill, which together formed the basis of the Dodd-Frank Act (Dodd-Frank):
Amend the title so as to read: An Act to promote the financial stability of the United States by improving accountability and transparency in the financial system, to end "too big to fail", to protect the American taxpayer by ending bailouts, to protect consumers from abusive financial services practices, and for other purposes. (My Emphasis)
The nomenclature "too big to fail," otherwise known by the acronym TBTF, was placed into the legislative language right then and there!
But that phrase "too big too fail" itself never actually made it into the 2319 page Dodd-Frank Act.
Did it just disappear forever or merely reappear with a make-over?
What’s In A Name
Dodd-Frank saw to it that the pesky and politically unpopular term "too big to fail" disappeared, but the concept was craftily replaced with a shiny new term, known as a "systemically important financial institution," also prestigiously having an acronym of its very own: "SIFI." (Pronounced in the same way as you would pronounce SciFi!)
Is the SIFI a different kind of indomitable beast than the TBTF monstrosity?
Let's take a closer look, by reading some Dodd-Frank descriptions of this SIFI creature:
- Entities that are systemically important or can significantly impact the financial system of the United States.
- The terms 'systemically important' and 'systemic importance' mean a situation where the failure of or a disruption to the functioning of a financial market utility or the conduct of a payment, clearing, or settlement activity could create, or increase, the risk of significant liquidity or credit problems spreading among financial institutions or markets and thereby threaten the stability of the financial system of the United States.
And here is one of several factors that may be taken into consideration, when deciding to protect us from the flailing SIFI:
- The effect that the failure of or a disruption to the financial market utility or payment, clearing, or settlement activity would have on critical markets, financial institutions, or the broader financial system.
Now you might argue that TBTF is a somewhat colloquial expression, a political and journalistic tool, but its successor, SIFI, is now enshrined into law along with certain actionable remediation. Conceptually, however, I see very little light between the meaning of the two terms.
So did Dodd-Frank conquer the "too big to fail" beast, wrestling the TBTF to the ground, casting it into chains, pulling off its griftopic mask, and finding underneath the "systemically important financial institution," that rapaciously attenuated SIFI?
Are We Safe From The SIFI?
Let us presume that Dodd-Frank actually provides viable regulatory remedies for keeping this SIFI chained up. As you may know, I have written extensively about the breathtaking lack of formidable brakes in Dodd-Frank to avoid the SIFI debacle. Indeed, certain markets are still exposed to systemic failure, as that term is defined by Dodd-Frank. In some cases, certain markets are inadequately addressed by or they are not even regulated through Dodd-Frank.
In any event, let us just suppose that somehow Dodd-Frank actually has all the regulatory remedies it needs to keep the SIFI under control. What may happen in another meltdown?